A promising treatment for Covid-19 comes from a most unusual source - an anti-depressant treatment. Is the evidence compelling? What should we believe?
Published research from respectable journals and reported by renowned press outlets can be very misleading and of questionable importance. But it helps keep funding for the researchers and readership for the news media.
You may have heard, “Always do subgroup analysis, but never believe them.” Don't believe this.
The over-reliance on p-values can lead to misinterpretation of data and a $150 million bet on a subgroup with scant evidence.
How do we know when an observed effect is real or spurious?
Some people say, "A p-value=0.05 is not very much evidence against the null hypothesis." Well then, how much evidence is it?
pr(B|A) ≠ 1 – pr(A|B). Why do we act like it ?!