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Category: Case Studies

Blog 20: I Am (Probably) Wrong, Maybe

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A promising treatment for Covid-19 comes from a most unusual source - an anti-depressant treatment. Is the evidence compelling? What should we believe?

Steve Ruberg Are You Sure?, Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies Leave a comment November 12, 2021May 29, 2022 16 Minutes

Blog 19: We Won’t Get Fooled Again, Again

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Many clinician researchers are attempting to "repurpose" old treatments for COVID-19. How shold we evaluate purported positive findings in a small, but rigorous, clinical trial?

Steve Ruberg Are You Sure?, Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies Leave a comment March 9, 2021 13 Minutes

No. 16: Beware Caesar – Alcohol Consumption and Alzheimer’s Disease

Published research from respectable journals and reported by renowned press outlets can be very misleading and of questionable importance. But it helps keep funding for the researchers and readership for the news media.

Steve Ruberg Are You Sure?, Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies, Uncategorized 1 Comment March 15, 2020April 13, 2020 19 Minutes

No. 15: Subgroups, Multiplicity and Bayes – A Case Study

Alzheimer's Disease has had many failures, and various companies have had mixed results. Bayesian approaches can bring clarity to the inference and primary question: "Does this treatment work?"

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies, Subgroup Identification Leave a comment January 15, 2020March 30, 2020 10 Minutes

No. 13: Unconsciously Biased and Consciously Unbiased

Implicit models in the back of our minds can creep into explicit models creating biased predictions that have societal implications.

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies, Stats and Data Science Leave a comment November 7, 2019 4 Minutes

No. 10 – Always do Subgroup IDENTIFICATION

You may have heard, “Always do subgroup analysis, but never believe them.” Don't believe this.

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies, Subgroup Identification Leave a comment September 30, 2019 12 Minutes

No. 9: Case Study – Genetic Subgroups and CV Disease

The over-reliance on p-values can lead to misinterpretation of data and a $150 million bet on a subgroup with scant evidence.

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking, Case Studies, Subgroup Identification Leave a comment September 10, 2019January 7, 2020 10 Minutes
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Stephen Ruberg, PhD

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  • Blog 20: I Am (Probably) Wrong, Maybe November 12, 2021
  • Blog 19: We Won’t Get Fooled Again, Again March 9, 2021
  • No. 18: Analytics, Fast and Slow April 13, 2020

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