pr(B|A) ≠ 1 – pr(A|B). Why do we act like it ?!
No. 6: Détente – The Peaceful Co-Existence of Significance Levels and Bayes
Category: Bayesian Thinking
Bayesian thinking is about answering the right question – the probability of a hypothesis being true of false.
No. 5: pr(You’re Bayesian) > 0.50
For too long statisticians have been peddling pr(data|hypothesis) when scientists [indeed all of us] want pr(hypothesis|data).
