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Category: Bayesian Thinking

Bayesian thinking is about answering the right question – the probability of a hypothesis being true of false.

No. 7: What does p<0.05 mean anyway?

Some people say, "A p-value=0.05 is not very much evidence against the null hypothesis." Well then, how much evidence is it?

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking Leave a comment August 20, 2019August 22, 2019 6 Minutes

No. 6: Détente – The Peaceful Co-Existence of Significance Levels and Bayes

pr(B|A) ≠ 1 – pr(A|B). Why do we act like it ?!

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking Leave a comment July 31, 2019August 16, 2019 7 Minutes

No. 5: pr(You’re Bayesian) > 0.50

For too long statisticians have been peddling pr(data|hypothesis) when scientists [indeed all of us] want pr(hypothesis|data).

Steve Ruberg Bayesian Thinking 2 Comments July 22, 2019August 16, 2019 9 Minutes

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Stephen Ruberg, PhD

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